NRFI: Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles
Closes April 2, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$8K
Bid / Ask
77% / 99%
Spread
22.10pp
Expert Signal
90%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
99% YES
Mar 26, 2026
Biggest move: -11.8pp
100% → 88%
Mar 27, 2026
Current
88% YES (-11.8pp recent)
Mar 27, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "NRFI: Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 90%. The bid-ask spread is 22.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "NRFI: Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1711493
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