ForecastMind
Markets/New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants
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New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants

Closes April 3, 2026

Polymarket Price

66%YES
35%NO

Volume 24h

$1.8M

Liquidity

$14K

Expert Signal

66%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

Full event →

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+11.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

55% YES

Mar 27, 2026

Biggest move: +13.0pp

53% → 66%

Mar 27, 2026

Current

66% YES (+13.0pp recent)

Mar 27, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 66%99%
Buy YES@ 66¢
Edge

+0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.4%
½ Kelly0.7%
Buy NO@ 35¢

-1.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.8% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants" at 66% YES / 34% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.8M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 66%. The market closes on April 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giants." Prediction market snapshot: YES 66%, NO 34%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1711524