Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 25?
Closes March 26, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$25K
Liquidity
$8K
Bid / Ask
3% / 4%
Spread
1.20pp
Expert Signal
5%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
March
24 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
13% YES
Mar 25, 2026
Trough probability
4% YES — lowest in period
Mar 25, 2026
Biggest move: -8.0pp
12% → 4%
Mar 25, 2026
Current
6% YES (-1.8pp recent)
Mar 25, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-6.5%
EV per $ wagered
+0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 25?" at 5% YES / 95% NO. In the last 24 hours, $25K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 5%. The bid-ask spread is 1.20 percentage points. The market closes on March 26, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 25?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 5%, NO 95%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1712091
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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