ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Raptors vs. Pistons
Share on X

Raptors vs. Pistons

Closed April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

31%YES
70%NO

Volume 24h

$1.0M

Liquidity

$157K

Bid / Ask

29% / 30%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

31%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Raptors vs. Pistons" at 31% YES / 69% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.0M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 31%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Raptors vs. Pistons." Prediction market snapshot: YES 31%, NO 69%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1716625

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Raptors vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5: 35%, Raptors vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5: 35%, Raptors vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 106.5: 33%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

41% YES

Mar 31, 2026

Current

42% YES (-1.0pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 31%99%
Buy YES@ 31¢
Edge

+1.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.7%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 70¢

-0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this