ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Wizards vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5
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Wizards vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5

Closed March 26, 2026

Polymarket Price

35%YES
66%NO

Volume 24h

$102K

Liquidity

$6K

Bid / Ask

43% / 46%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

45%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

52% YES

Mar 25, 2026

Current

53% YES (+1.0pp recent)

Mar 26, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 35%99%
Buy YES@ 35¢
Edge

+1.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 66¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Wizards vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5" at 35% YES / 65% NO. In the last 24 hours, $102K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 45%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 26, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Wizards vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 35%, NO 65%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1717164