Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)
Closes April 7, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$6K
Liquidity
$74K
Bid / Ask
7% / 9%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
8%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)" at 8% YES / 92% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 8%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 8%, NO 92%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1718884
This event has 8 active outcome markets. Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5: 90%, Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Te: 73%, Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5: 73%.
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
8% YES
Apr 7, 2026
Current
8% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this