⊘

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Spread: Pistons (-1.5)

Share on X

Spread: Pistons (-1.5)

Data as of Mar 26, 2026, 02:57 AM UTC

Closed March 25, 2026

Polymarket Price

47%YES

54%NO

Volume 24h

$10K

Liquidity

$3K

Bid / Ask

4% / 64%

Spread

60.00pp

Expert Signal

47%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 47%99%

Buy YES@ 47¢

Edge

+1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.9%

½ Kelly0.5%

Buy NO@ 53¢

-0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Pistons (-1.5)" at 47% YES / 53% NO. In the last 24 hours, $10K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 47%. The bid-ask spread is 60.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Spread: Pistons (-1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 47%, NO 53%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1721615

Go Deeper

⬡

Entity Hub

All related markets, signals, and news in one view.

◎

Forecaster Signals

See all markets where experts diverge from Polymarket prices.

⇄

Venue Divergence

Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.

Correlated Markets

Markets whose prices move with this one.