Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 230.5
Closed March 25, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$10K
Liquidity
$4K
Bid / Ask
61% / 99%
Spread
38.00pp
Expert Signal
75%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Hawks vs. Pistons
16 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
68% YES
Mar 25, 2026
Trough probability
59% YES — lowest in period
Mar 26, 2026
Biggest move: +25.5pp
75% → 100%
Mar 26, 2026
Current
100% YES (+25.5pp recent)
Mar 26, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.7%
EV per $ wagered
-2.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 230.5" at 75% YES / 25% NO. In the last 24 hours, $10K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 75%. The bid-ask spread is 38.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 230.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 75%, NO 25%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1721616
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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