ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Spread: Lakers (-15.5)
Share on X

Spread: Lakers (-15.5)

Closed March 25, 2026

Polymarket Price

66%YES
35%NO

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$739

Bid / Ask

17% / 99%

Spread

82.00pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 66%99%
Buy YES@ 66¢
Edge

+0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.4%
½ Kelly0.7%
Buy NO@ 35¢

-1.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.8% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Lakers (-15.5)" at 66% YES / 34% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 82.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Spread: Lakers (-15.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 66%, NO 34%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1722499