Markets/Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5

Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5

Data as of Mar 26, 2026, 10:24 PM UTC

Closes March 26, 2026

Polymarket Price

22%YES

78%NO

Volume 24h

$508

Liquidity

$3K

Bid / Ask

15% / 31%

Spread

16.00pp

Expert Signal

22%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5

Full event →

Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5

52%

Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 3.5

43%

Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5

36%

3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 22%99%

Buy YES@ 22¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 78¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5" at 22% YES / 78% NO. In the last 24 hours, $508 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 22%. The bid-ask spread is 16.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 26, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 22%, NO 78%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1724989

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