NRFI: New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Closes April 8, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$475
Bid / Ask
60% / 100%
Spread
39.80pp
Expert Signal
74%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "NRFI: New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals" at 74% YES / 26% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 74%. The bid-ask spread is 39.80 percentage points. The market closes on April 8, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "NRFI: New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals." Prediction market snapshot: YES 74%, NO 26%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1729417
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
99% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Biggest move: -32.5pp
100% → 67%
Apr 1, 2026
Current
60% YES (-0.6pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this