Hawks vs. Magic
Closes April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$671K
Liquidity
$276K
Bid / Ask
56% / 57%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
61%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Hawks vs. Magic" at 57% YES / 43% NO. In the last 24 hours, $671K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 61%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Hawks vs. Magic." Prediction market snapshot: YES 57%, NO 43%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1730078
This event has 4 active outcome markets. Hawks vs. Magic: 57%, Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 232.5: 53%, Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 233.5: 52%.
Hawks vs. Magic
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
61% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Current
57% YES (-3.0pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
+1.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this