ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on April 2?
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Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on April 2?

Closed April 2, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 1 signal
52%FIS
+2ppvs market 50%
underpriced

ForecastMind sees this +2.2pp above current market price; market at 50% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +1.4% ↑, ETH +2.3% ↑, S&P +0.6% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

MacroBTC +1.4% ↑, ETH +2.3% ↑, S&P +0.6% ↑
+2.2pp
Live compute09:33 AM

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$18K

Liquidity

$0

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on April 2?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $18K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on April 2?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1731471

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-18.4pp

Key Moments

First recorded

19% YES

Mar 26, 2026

Trough probability

0% YES — lowest in period

Apr 1, 2026

Biggest move: +47.3pp

3% → 50%

Mar 27, 2026

Peak probability

50% YES — highest in period

Mar 27, 2026

Current

0% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 2, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this