ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 23.5
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Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 23.5

Closed March 27, 2026

Polymarket Price

56%YES
44%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$436

Bid / Ask

34% / 96%

Spread

62.00pp

Expert Signal

56%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 23.5

Full event →

3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-21.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

77% YES

Mar 27, 2026

Trough probability

36% YES — lowest in period

Mar 27, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

36%

Mar 27, 2026

Biggest move: -41.5pp

77% → 36%

Mar 27, 2026

Current

56% YES (+11.0pp recent)

Mar 27, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 56%99%
Buy YES@ 56¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 44¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 23.5" at 56% YES / 44% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 56%. The bid-ask spread is 62.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 27, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 23.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 56%, NO 44%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1735515