ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5
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Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5

Closed March 28, 2026

Polymarket Price

4%YES
96%NO

Volume 24h

$44K

Liquidity

$7K

Expert Signal

4%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-49.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

54% YES

Mar 28, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

36%

Mar 28, 2026

Biggest move: -31.4pp

36% → 4%

Mar 28, 2026

Current

4% YES (-31.4pp recent)

Mar 28, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 4%99%
Buy YES@ 4¢
Edge

+1.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.1%
½ Kelly0.0%
Buy NO@ 96¢

-0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $44K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The market closes on March 28, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1738289