ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on April 3?
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Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on April 3?

Closed April 3, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence
49%FIS
vs
50%Market
overpriced 0.7pp
1 signal
Key Drivers
MacroBTC -0.6% ↓, ETH -1.6% ↓, S&P +1.0% ↑
-0.7pp100%

ForecastMind sees this -0.7pp below current market price; market at 50% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -0.6% ↓, ETH -1.6% ↓, S&P +1.0% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Live compute01:53 PM

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$103K

Liquidity

$0

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on April 3?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $103K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-05). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on April 3?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1743625

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-9.9pp

Key Moments

First recorded

10% YES

Mar 27, 2026

Trough probability

0% YES — lowest in period

Apr 3, 2026

Biggest move: -5.5pp

12% → 7%

Mar 29, 2026

Current

0% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 3, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this