Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 3?
Closes April 3, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$5K
Liquidity
$24K
Bid / Ask
38% / 40%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
43%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 3?" at 38% YES / 62% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 43%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 3?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 38%, NO 62%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1743689
This event has 24 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 3?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 2?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 2?: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 3?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
54% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
38%
Apr 2, 2026
Biggest move: -18.0pp
56% → 38%
Apr 2, 2026
Current
38% YES (-18.0pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this