Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Suns (-16.5)
Closed March 29, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$456K
Liquidity
$7K
Bid / Ask
87% / 92%
Spread
5.00pp
Expert Signal
96%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Spread: Suns (-16.5)
4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
52% YES
Mar 28, 2026
Current
53% YES (+1.0pp recent)
Mar 29, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
+1.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Suns (-16.5)" at 56% YES / 44% NO. In the last 24 hours, $456K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 96%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Spread: Suns (-16.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 56%, NO 44%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1750519
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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