ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 230.5
Share on X

Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 230.5

Closed March 29, 2026

Polymarket Price

57%YES
43%NO

Volume 24h

$61K

Liquidity

$31K

Bid / Ask

98% / 100%

Spread

1.60pp

Expert Signal

57%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+23.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

50% YES

Mar 28, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

50%

Mar 28, 2026

Biggest move: +19.5pp

54% → 74%

Mar 29, 2026

Current

74% YES (+19.5pp recent)

Mar 29, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 57%99%
Buy YES@ 57¢

-0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 43¢
Edge

+1.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.9%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO+1.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 230.5" at 57% YES / 43% NO. In the last 24 hours, $61K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 57%. The bid-ask spread is 1.60 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 230.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 57%, NO 43%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1751168