ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5
Share on X

Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5

Closed March 28, 2026

Polymarket Price

18%YES
82%NO

Volume 24h

$4K

Liquidity

$4K

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5

Full event →

3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+0.2pp

Key Moments

First recorded

0% YES

Mar 28, 2026

Current

1% YES (-0.1pp recent)

Mar 28, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 18%99%
Buy YES@ 18¢
Edge

+2.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.5%
½ Kelly0.2%
Buy NO@ 82¢

-0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+2.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.5%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5" at 18% YES / 82% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on March 28, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 18%, NO 82%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1751850