Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Pelicans vs. Kings
Closed April 4, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.5M
Liquidity
$67K
Bid / Ask
66% / 67%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
82%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Pelicans vs. Kings" at 83% YES / 17% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.5M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 82%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 4, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Pelicans vs. Kings." Prediction market snapshot: YES 83%, NO 17%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1760821
This event has 7 active outcome markets. Pelicans vs. Kings: 1H O/U 119.5: 100%, Pelicans vs. Kings: 1H O/U 120.5: 100%, Pelicans vs. Kings: 1H Moneyline: 100%.
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
67% YES
Apr 3, 2026
Biggest move: +26.0pp
68% → 94%
Apr 4, 2026
Current
94% YES (+26.0pp recent)
Apr 4, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.6%
EV per $ wagered
-2.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this