Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 4 Winner
Closed March 29, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$79K
Liquidity
$273K
Bid / Ask
50% / 51%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
51%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
64% YES
Mar 29, 2026
Trough probability
51% YES — lowest in period
Mar 29, 2026
Biggest move: -8.0pp
64% → 56%
Mar 29, 2026
Current
51% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 29, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.0%
EV per $ wagered
-1.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 4 Winner" at 51% YES / 49% NO. In the last 24 hours, $79K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 51%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 4 Winner." Prediction market snapshot: YES 51%, NO 49%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1765559
Go Deeper
Entity Hub
All related markets, signals, and news in one view.
Forecaster Signals
See all markets where experts diverge from Polymarket prices.
Venue Divergence
Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.
Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
Download 90d CSV
Full price history for your own analysis.