Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)
Closes March 29, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$81K
Liquidity
$25K
Bid / Ask
55% / 58%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
56%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)
7 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
49% YES
Mar 29, 2026
Trough probability
21% YES — lowest in period
Mar 29, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
57%
Mar 29, 2026
Biggest move: +28.5pp
28% → 57%
Mar 29, 2026
Current
57% YES (+28.5pp recent)
Mar 29, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)" at 40% YES / 60% NO. In the last 24 hours, $81K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 56%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 40%, NO 60%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1776907
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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