Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 5?
Closed April 5, 2026
Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing ETH -0.3% ↓, S&P -0.2% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$93K
Liquidity
$0
Expert Signal
6%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 5?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $93K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 6%. The market closes on April 5, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 5?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1777519
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
26% YES
Mar 29, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Apr 5, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
54%
Apr 1, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
36%
Apr 2, 2026
Biggest move: -35.5pp
68% → 32%
Apr 2, 2026
Peak probability
69% YES — highest in period
Apr 1, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 5, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this