Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)
Closed March 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$92K
Liquidity
$135K
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $92K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on March 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1785183
This event has 3 active outcome markets. Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5): 0%, Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5): 0%, Spread: Cavaliers (-18.5): 0%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~100%.
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
51% YES
Mar 30, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Mar 31, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
49%
Mar 30, 2026
Biggest move: -38.5pp
42% → 3%
Mar 31, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this