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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5

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Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5

Data as of Mar 31, 2026, 12:59 AM UTC

Closed March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

42%YES

58%NO

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

Bid / Ask

0% / 1%

Spread

0.80pp

Expert Signal

42%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

Event Distribution

Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5

Full event →

Naji Marshall: Points O/U 16.5

44%

Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5

44%

Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5

38%

3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+0.1pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 42%99%

Buy YES@ 42¢

Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.7%

½ Kelly0.3%

Buy NO@ 58¢

-0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5" at 42% YES / 58% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 42%. The bid-ask spread is 0.80 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 42%, NO 58%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786042

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.