Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 March 30-April 5?
Closes April 6, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$31K
Liquidity
$38K
Bid / Ask
8% / 10%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
9%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 March 30-April 5?" at 9% YES / 91% NO. In the last 24 hours, $31K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 9%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 March 30-April 5?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 9%, NO 91%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786425
This event has 7 active outcome markets. Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 30-April 5?: 27%, Ethereum dip to $1,800 March 30-April 5?: 9%, Ethereum dip to $1,700 March 30-April 5?: 3%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~61%.
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
9% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Current
9% YES (+1.5pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+5.9%
EV per $ wagered
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this