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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5
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Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

Closed April 12, 2026

Polymarket Price

35%YES
66%NO

Volume 24h

$132K

Liquidity

$20K

Bid / Ask

25% / 26%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

35%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5" at 35% YES / 65% NO. In the last 24 hours, $132K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 35%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 35%, NO 65%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1787194

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5: 100%, Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5: 35%, Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5: 6%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 35%99%
Buy YES@ 35¢
Edge

+1.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 66¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this