ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-12?
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Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-12?

Closed April 12, 2026

Polymarket Price

83%YES
17%NO

Volume 24h

$1.3M

Liquidity

$6K

Bid / Ask

88% / 88%

Spread

0.20pp

Expert Signal

83%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-12?" at 83% YES / 17% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.3M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 83%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-12?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 83%, NO 17%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1787766

Outcome Markets9 markets

This event has 9 active outcome markets. FC Internazionale Milano: 100%, SC Braga: 100%, SC Freiburg: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+27.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 83%99%
Buy YES@ 83¢

-0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 17¢
Edge

+0.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.1%
½ Kelly0.0%
Buy NO+0.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this