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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Will Trump's remarks not air?
Share on X

Will Trump's remarks not air?

Closed April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

78%YES
22%NO

Volume 24h

$19K

Liquidity

$3K

Bid / Ask

75% / 89%

Spread

14.10pp

Expert Signal

78%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Trump's remarks not air?" at 78% YES / 22% NO. In the last 24 hours, $19K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 78%. The bid-ask spread is 14.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will Trump's remarks not air?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 78%, NO 22%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1795910

Outcome Markets2 markets

This event has 2 active outcome markets. Trump's remarks not air?: 78%, Trump's remarks not air?: 6%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~16%.

Trump's remarks not air?

78%
Trump's remarks not air?
6%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 78%99%
Buy YES@ 78¢

-0.3%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 22¢
Edge

+1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.3%
½ Kelly0.2%
Buy NO—+1.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.3%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this