ForecastMind
Markets/Spread: Clippers (-4.5)
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Spread: Clippers (-4.5)

Closes April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

51%YES
50%NO

Volume 24h

$12K

Liquidity

$96K

Bid / Ask

53% / 54%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

51%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Clippers (-4.5)" at 51% YES / 49% NO. In the last 24 hours, $12K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 51%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Spread: Clippers (-4.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 51%, NO 49%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1799260

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Spread: Clippers (-4.5): 51%, Spread: Clippers (-5.5): 47%, Spread: Clippers (-6.5): 44%.

Spread: Clippers (-4.5)

51%
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)
47%
Spread: Clippers (-6.5)
44%
1H Spread: Clippers (-3.5)
44%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

56% YES

Mar 31, 2026

Current

54% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 51%99%
Buy YES@ 51¢
Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.0%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 50¢

-1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this