ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Suns vs. Magic: 1H Moneyline
Share on X

Suns vs. Magic: 1H Moneyline

Closed March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

27%YES
74%NO

Volume 24h

$6K

Liquidity

$7K

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Suns vs. Magic: 1H Moneyline" at 27% YES / 73% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Suns vs. Magic: 1H Moneyline." Prediction market snapshot: YES 27%, NO 73%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1799698

Outcome Markets6 markets

This event has 6 active outcome markets. Suns vs. Magic: 1H O/U 115.5: 100%, Suns vs. Magic: O/U 223.5: 99%, Suns vs. Magic: O/U 224.5: 99%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-45.9pp

Key Moments

First recorded

46% YES

Mar 31, 2026

Biggest move: -26.5pp

27% → 0%

Apr 1, 2026

Current

0% YES (-26.5pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 27%99%
Buy YES@ 27¢
Edge

+1.9%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.7%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 74¢

-0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.9% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this