Cavaliers vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline
Closes April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$51K
Bid / Ask
45% / 48%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
47%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Cavaliers vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline" at 47% YES / 53% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 47%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Cavaliers vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline." Prediction market snapshot: YES 47%, NO 53%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1799723
This event has 8 active outcome markets. Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5: 53%, Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5: 50%, Cavaliers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 114.5: 48%.
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
47% YES
Mar 31, 2026
Current
47% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this