Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 7?
Closes April 7, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -0.7pp below current market price; market at 5% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -0.7% ↓, ETH -0.9% ↓, S&P +0.5% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$12K
Liquidity
$21K
Bid / Ask
4% / 5%
Spread
1.20pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 7?" at 5% YES / 95% NO. In the last 24 hours, $12K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 1.20 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 7?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 5%, NO 95%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1807997
This event has 6 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 52%, price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,0: 32%, price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,0: 15%.
price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on Apri
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+5.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this