Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 7?
Closed April 7, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +0.9pp above current market price; market at 50% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +0.5% ↑, ETH +0.1% ↑, S&P -0.1% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$65K
Liquidity
$0
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 7?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $65K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 7?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1808008
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
3% YES
Mar 31, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this