Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
Closes April 2, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$17K
Liquidity
$72K
Bid / Ask
62% / 63%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
63%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Spurs (-11.5)" at 60% YES / 40% NO. In the last 24 hours, $17K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 63%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Spread: Spurs (-11.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 60%, NO 40%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1810908
This event has 4 active outcome markets. Spread: Spurs (-11.5): 60%, Spread: Spurs (-12.5): 56%, Spread: Spurs (-13.5): 52%.
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
60% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Current
60% YES (+0.5pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.8%
EV per $ wagered
-1.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this