ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 18.5
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DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 18.5

Closed April 2, 2026

Polymarket Price

52%YES
48%NO

Volume 24h

$3K

Liquidity

$4

Expert Signal

52%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 18.5" at 52% YES / 48% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 52%. The market closes on April 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 18.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 52%, NO 48%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1816668

Outcome Markets2 markets

This event has 2 active outcome markets. DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 18.5: 52%, DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 4.5: 0%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~48%.

DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 18.5

52%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-22.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

74% YES

Apr 1, 2026

Trough probability

52% YES — lowest in period

Apr 2, 2026

Biggest move: -20.0pp

73% → 53%

Apr 2, 2026

Current

52% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 2, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 52%99%
Buy YES@ 52¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 48¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this