Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 8?
Closes April 8, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$20K
Liquidity
$25K
Bid / Ask
33% / 35%
Spread
1.60pp
Expert Signal
34%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 8?" at 33% YES / 67% NO. In the last 24 hours, $20K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 34%. The bid-ask spread is 1.60 percentage points. The market closes on April 8, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-08). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 8?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 33%, NO 67%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1817345
This event has 7 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,0: 58%, price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,0: 33%, price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 5%.
price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on Apri
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
11% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Trough probability
2% YES — lowest in period
Apr 7, 2026
Biggest move: +33.8pp
2% → 36%
Apr 8, 2026
Current
36% YES (+0.9pp recent)
Apr 8, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-1.2%
EV per $ wagered
+0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this