Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: 76ers (-14.5)
Closed April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$315K
Liquidity
$5K
Expert Signal
76%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: 76ers (-14.5)" at 76% YES / 24% NO. In the last 24 hours, $315K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 76%. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Spread: 76ers (-14.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 76%, NO 24%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1818300
This event has 4 active outcome markets. Spread: 76ers (-14.5): 76%, Spread: 76ers (-13.5): 53%, 1H Spread: 76ers (-9.5): 50%.
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Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
50% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Trough probability
22% YES — lowest in period
Apr 2, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
55%
Apr 2, 2026
Biggest move: +33.5pp
22% → 55%
Apr 2, 2026
Current
55% YES (+33.5pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.7%
EV per $ wagered
-2.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this