ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Knicks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
Share on X

Knicks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5

Closed April 2, 2026

Polymarket Price

96%YES
4%NO

Volume 24h

$17K

Liquidity

$13K

Bid / Ask

93% / 99%

Spread

6.30pp

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Knicks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5" at 96% YES / 4% NO. In the last 24 hours, $17K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 6.30 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Knicks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 96%, NO 4%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1818913

Outcome Markets9 markets

This event has 9 active outcome markets. Knicks vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 116.5: 100%, Knicks vs. Grizzlies: 1H Moneyline: 100%, Knicks vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 117.5: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+46.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

50% YES

Apr 1, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

49%

Apr 1, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

97%

Apr 2, 2026

Biggest move: +48.0pp

49% → 97%

Apr 2, 2026

Current

97% YES (+48.0pp recent)

Apr 2, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 96%99%
Buy YES@ 96¢
Edge

+0.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly4.8%
½ Kelly2.4%
Buy NO@ 4¢

-4.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 4.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this