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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
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Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)

Closed April 14, 2026

Polymarket Price

16%YES
84%NO

Volume 24h

$164K

Liquidity

$12K

Bid / Ask

15% / 17%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

16%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)" at 16% YES / 84% NO. In the last 24 hours, $164K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 16%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 14, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 16%, NO 84%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1818927

Outcome Markets2 markets

This event has 2 active outcome markets. Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5): 16%, Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5): 5%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~79%.

Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)

16%
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)
5%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-6.5pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 16%99%
Buy YES@ 16¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 84¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this