ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5
Share on X

Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5

Closed April 14, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$159K

Liquidity

$406K

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence50%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $159K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 14, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-15). "Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1818931

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U : 100%, Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U : 0%, Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end i: 0%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-62.4pp

Key Moments

First recorded

63% YES

Apr 14, 2026

Trough probability

0% YES — lowest in period

Apr 14, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

31%

Apr 14, 2026

Biggest move: -32.0pp

63% → 31%

Apr 14, 2026

Current

0% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 14, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this