Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
Closes April 3, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$23K
Liquidity
$31K
Bid / Ask
56% / 57%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
56%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5" at 56% YES / 44% NO. In the last 24 hours, $23K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 56%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 56%, NO 44%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1821447
This event has 9 active outcome markets. Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5: 63%, Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5: 59%, Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5: 56%.
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
54% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Current
56% YES (-1.0pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
+1.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this