Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 9?
Closes April 9, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -0.8pp below current market price; market at 14% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -0.2% ↓, ETH -0.4% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$22K
Liquidity
$17K
Bid / Ask
14% / 14%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
14%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 9?" at 14% YES / 86% NO. In the last 24 hours, $22K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 14%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 9?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 14%, NO 86%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1831393
This event has 8 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,0: 68%, price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 18%, price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,0: 14%.
price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on Apri
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
34% YES
Apr 8, 2026
Biggest move: -11.6pp
32% → 21%
Apr 8, 2026
Current
12% YES (-4.2pp recent)
Apr 9, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
+0.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this