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Markets/Kash Patel out by April 30?
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Kash Patel out by April 30?

Market Price

14%YES
86%NO
Vol 24h$75K
Liquidity$27K
Bid / Ask13% / 15%
Spread1.90pp
ClosesJun 30, 2026
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Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets3 markets

3 deadline markets. Combined YES = 151% — 51pp excess suggests collective overpricing.

by December 31

Kash Patel out by December 31

79%
by June 30

Kash Patel out by June 30

59%

by April 30

Kash Patel out by April 30

14%

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

MarketFM Estimate
-12.3pp

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Kash Patel out by April 30?" at 14% YES / 86% NO. In the last 24 hours, $75K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 13%. The bid-ask spread is 1.90pp. The market closes on June 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-26). "Kash Patel out by April 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 14%, NO 86%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1838758