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Markets/Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A
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Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

Closes April 13, 2026

Polymarket Price

6%YES
95%NO

Volume 24h

$323K

Liquidity

$68K

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A" at 6% YES / 94% NO. In the last 24 hours, $323K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 13, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A." Prediction market snapshot: YES 6%, NO 94%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1842243

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM : 100%, Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) -: 6%, Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - I: 5%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-15.2pp

Key Moments

First recorded

16% YES

Apr 13, 2026

Biggest move: -32.8pp

33% → 0%

Apr 13, 2026

Peak probability

33% YES — highest in period

Apr 13, 2026

Current

0% YES (-32.8pp recent)

Apr 13, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 6%99%
Buy YES@ 6¢
Edge

+9.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.5%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 95¢

-0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+9.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.5%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this