Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (April 12)
Closes April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$654
Liquidity
$769
Bid / Ask
5% / 7%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
6%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (April 12)" at 6% YES / 94% NO. In the last 24 hours, $654 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 6%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (April 12)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 6%, NO 94%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1847742
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
14% YES
Apr 7, 2026
Trough probability
7% YES — lowest in period
Apr 7, 2026
Biggest move: +23.5pp
20% → 44%
Apr 7, 2026
Current
44% YES (+23.5pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this