ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5
Share on X

Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5

Closed April 4, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$5K

Liquidity

$22K

Bid / Ask

62% / 93%

Spread

31.00pp

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 31.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 4, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-05). "Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1851823

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5: 100%, Tre Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5: 100%, Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 3.5: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+64.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

36% YES

Apr 4, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

53%

Apr 4, 2026

Biggest move: +25.0pp

53% → 78%

Apr 4, 2026

Current

100% YES (+3.2pp recent)

Apr 5, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this