Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds
Closes April 17, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$729K
Liquidity
$79K
Bid / Ask
55% / 57%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
55%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds" at 55% YES / 45% NO. In the last 24 hours, $729K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 55%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 17, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds." Prediction market snapshot: YES 55%, NO 45%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1860409
This event has 4 active outcome markets. Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds: 55%, Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8: 44%, Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9: 34%.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
40% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
88%
Apr 11, 2026
Biggest move: +49.0pp
39% → 88%
Apr 11, 2026
Current
88% YES (+49.0pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.9%
EV per $ wagered
-1.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this