Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Cavaliers vs. Hawks
Closed April 10, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.0M
Liquidity
$184K
Bid / Ask
2% / 3%
Spread
0.60pp
Expert Signal
6%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Cavaliers vs. Hawks" at 6% YES / 94% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.0M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 6%. The bid-ask spread is 0.60 percentage points. The market closes on April 10, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Cavaliers vs. Hawks." Prediction market snapshot: YES 6%, NO 94%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1861179
This event has 14 active outcome markets. Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 221.5: 63%, Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5: 54%, Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 223.5: 52%.
Cavaliers vs. Hawks
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
35% YES
Apr 5, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Apr 11, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
52%
Apr 6, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
53%
Apr 8, 2026
Biggest move: -24.4pp
25% → 0%
Apr 11, 2026
Peak probability
53% YES — highest in period
Apr 8, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this